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Deep Russia: To Mobilize or Not to Mobilize?

In this report, we examine how the Russian authorities are trying to avoid an open mobilization campaign while simultaneously strengthening mechanisms of control and mobilization readiness. Rumors of a new draft wave are not causing widespread panic, but Russians are closely watching for any signs that mobilization measures may be intensified.

We also explore how drone attacks on rear regions, economic restrictions, and the expansion of state control are shaping public sentiment in Russia’s regional communities.

The monitoring covers the period from May 25 to May 31, 2026, and is based on an analysis of regional VKontakte and Telegram communities.

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